A Piece of The Puzzle - Florida

Why Florida???

I’m choosing the state of Florida because of its election problems in the past. For example in the past election the ballots were unreadable because of the heavy senior citizen population made questionable marks which led to George Bush winning the state by default making him the President. Another reason why I’m choosing this state is its indecisiveness in this current election. Even though it has been a republican state in the past, analyst are having a hard time predicting which party will win it.

Barack Obama Vote Percentage

Date
Vote Percentage
-3/12/08
43%
-4/10/08
38%
-5/19/08
49%
-6/18/08
39%
-9/24/08
47%
-10/05/08
52%
-10/12/08
51%
-10/19/08
48%
-10/22/08
49%
Line Regresstion = y = .034x+40.20
11/4/08Vote Precentage Prediction = 49.86

John McCain Vote Percentage

Date
Vote Percentage
-3/12/08
47%
-4/10/08
53%
-5/19/08
50%
-6/18/08
47%
-9/24/08
48%
-10/05/08
45%
-10/12/08
46%
-10/19/08
49%
-10/22/08
47%
LineRegression = y= -.011x+50.03
11/04/08 Vote Precentage Prediction = 46.77

Based on my results from my line of best fit I predict that Barack Obama is more likely to win the state of Florida. An evidence of this is his 3 point lead over john McCain based on the line equations.